Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.152428 11.711344 13.385075 15.310487 17.458836 19.776737 22.461118
2025-08-24 7.751707 9.787637 12.133309 15.015671 18.440804 22.358882 27.156488
2025-08-31 6.189431 8.393684 11.076736 14.543035 18.858943 24.009874 30.571784
2025-09-07 5.304894 7.640981 10.617725 14.624110 19.802771 26.193491 34.588937
2025-09-14 4.600018 7.000455 10.188328 14.637662 20.580198 28.127948 38.306275
2025-09-21 4.087230 6.541017 9.924041 14.801256 21.505446 30.236404 42.278143
2025-09-28 3.610840 6.066946 9.576884 14.794465 22.161783 31.980628 45.804244
2025-10-05 3.320733 5.827882 9.526578 15.174151 23.336154 34.431640 50.328049
2025-10-12 3.037554 5.563057 9.405661 15.425809 24.320376 36.639080 54.578476
2025-10-19 2.749951 5.255951 9.187584 15.504681 25.040286 38.486040 58.375014
2025-10-26 2.392615 4.790821 8.680086 15.099885 25.012728 39.255943 60.669914
2025-11-02 2.104823 4.409697 8.268878 14.804689 25.114658 40.191349 63.203118
2025-11-09 1.841810 4.044491 7.855820 14.481444 25.160544 41.053912 65.678319
2025-11-16 1.618060 3.723761 7.487541 14.199520 25.245297 41.963751 68.238801
2025-11-23 1.396315 3.377147 7.040432 13.748232 25.025485 42.389741 70.076664
2025-11-30 1.276407 3.218329 6.912637 13.825636 25.651551 44.114660 73.896868
2025-12-07 1.160531 3.052662 6.756322 13.838575 26.164228 45.671608 77.497238
2025-12-14 1.073845 2.938405 6.685613 13.994773 26.915825 47.618926 81.741617
2025-12-21 0.977018 2.788569 6.532308 13.988288 27.385197 49.126030 85.337505
2025-12-28 0.928127 2.742760 6.579519 14.350861 28.498706 51.693760 90.652487
2026-01-04 0.870669 2.669067 6.563513 14.591217 29.404842 53.947334 95.524088
2026-01-11 0.802669 2.560252 6.465303 14.666554 30.018562 55.735138 99.694058
2026-01-18 0.701908 2.353104 6.140665 14.279937 29.784434 56.106475 101.591428